Daily Rate Lock Advisory

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Medium

Positive

Treasury Auctions (5,7,10,20,30 year)

Yesterday’s 30-year Treasury Bond auction followed suit of Wednesday’s 10-year sale by drawing a decent demand from investors, particularly international buyers. This was good news for rates because mortgages are priced on long-term securities. Bonds had slowly but steadily improved during late morning into midday trading yesterday before getting a noticeable boost by the 1:00 PM ET auction results announcement.

Low

Unknown

None

There is nothing of importance scheduled for today, leaving us little to be concerned or optimistic about in terms of mortgage pricing. Unless some unexpected hits the wires, we are expecting rates to remain calm as the week comes to an end. The most likely cause of an intraday move would be headlines coming from the Middle East, but today so far seems quiet on that front.

High

Unknown

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Next week is packed with important economic data and other scheduled events that are likely to influence mortgage rates. The data includes two highly important inflation indexes and a key report on consumer spending. In addition to a few Fed speeches that look to be related to the economy and/or monetary policy, we also have two days of semi-annual congressional testimony with Chairman Warsh. All of the important events come Tuesday through Thursday, meaning we should see the biggest move in rates midweek. There is no relevant data scheduled for Monday, but Fed Governor Waller has a lunchtime speech in New York that has a topic listed as Economic Outlook. We can also expect any significant headlines from the Middle East this weekend to affect bond trading and mortgage pricing Monday. Look for details on all of next week’s activities in Sunday evening’s weekly preview.

Rate Lock Advisory

Mortgage Rate Trend

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Treasury Auctions (5,7,10,20,30 year)

None

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Float / Lock Recommendation